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The Race to Regionals: March 20th, 2007 |
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The national scene remains remarkably stable, as no team has risen into or fallen out of the top eighteen teams since the March 5 rankings came out. It is mathematically impossible for any team to catch either of the top two teams, #1 Florida and #2 Georgia, although those two teams could switch places. With only a single meet, SEC Championships, remaining for Florida, Georgia, and #3 Alabama, it is possible to calculate the maximum RQS for these teams. Florida’s maximum RQS is 197.545, Georgia’s is 197.585, and Alabama’s is 197.265. To attain these maximum scores, these teams would have to beat their season highs. Stanford remains at #4 this week, while Utah rose to #5 and LSU to #6. Nebraska, after an unusual meet in which an incomplete team was fielded, fell to #7. UCLA had the week off and fell to #8. #10 Oklahoma failed to improve its RQS this week, and #9 Oregon State passed them. #11 Michigan and #12 Arkansas round out the top twelve. With a new season high, #13 Penn State shot up three positions. #14 Arizona, too, recorded a new season high, while #15 Auburn failed to improve its RQS this week. #17 Iowa State continues to drop in the rankings, falling below #16 Denver. Missouri is holding onto the #18 spot. Please click this link to see Top 50 rankings with the range of each team’s six RQS-counting scores and the number of regular season meets each team has remaining. This will help you get a sense of which teams have more potential for significant upward movement in the rankings. If teams have one or two of their lower scores replaced with scores close to their high score, the team possessing a larger range will see a correspondingly larger jump in its RQS. This indicator is therefore a sign of the potential for upward movement in the rankings. Note that conference championships count as regular season meets for the purpose of Regionals qualifying.
Central Region
It’s been an exciting week in the Central Region! Not only did Michigan State leap up seven spots in the rankings upon earning two strong away scores, but Kentucky overtook Kent State for the final unseeded berth. Having broken the 195 mark for the second consecutive week, Kentucky may have hit its groove. The next two weeks will be an intense race between Kentucky and Kent State, but at the same time, these teams may be lucky enough to see Michigan State move up into seeded position. At the same time, Central Michigan cannot be counted out. If Regionals were today, the following would be the North Central Region individual qualifiers: All-Around Jillian Kowalski, Kent State Vault Sheena Smith, Central Michigan Bars Kristin Peters, Kent State Beam Kristin Peters, Kent State Floor Laci Hendress, Kent State
North Central Region
In the North Central Region this week, there continue to be eight top-36 teams competing for only six Regionals berths. Iowa State will need to put a stop to their continued slide in the rankings in order to assure that these talented teams aren’t fighting for only five berths. With a new season high, Minnesota overtook Brigham Young this week. Brigham Young had a weak meet and dropped four spots in the rankings. Not far behind are Iowa (slight RQS improvement) and Utah State (failed to improve). Utah State is still counting a single 192 score, with their remaining scores above 194, so this team is a huge threat to overtake Iowa and possibly Brigham Young. If Regionals were today, the following would be the North Central Region individual qualifiers: All-Around Jessica Parenti-Otte, Utah State Vault Katy Schilla, Utah State Bars Ashley Barr, Utah State Beam Kellie Dangerfield, Southern Utah Floor Megan Tschida, Utah State
Northeast Region
The Northeast Region remains quiet, although Pennsylvania is closing the gap on Rutgers for the final unseeded Regionals berth. Rutgers will need to have two strong away scores to close out the season. New Hampshire and Pittsburgh each dropped three spots in the rankings this week. If Regionals were today, the following would be the Northeast Region individual qualifiers: All-Around Alicia Sacramone, Brown Vault Colleen Davis, Cornell Bars Christine McNeill, Temple Beam Jennifer Sobuta, Brown Floor Noelle Moore, Temple
South Central Region
In perhaps the deepest of all regions, Missouri continues to hang onto the last seeded Regionals berth, for which Southeast Missouri and Illinois-Chicago must be very grateful. The latter two terms are in a tight race for the last unseeded position. Both teams were able to replace a low score with a much higher score this week, but Illinois-Chicago has a bit more wiggle room from this point forward. If Regionals were today, the following would be the South Central Region individual qualifiers: All-Around Annie Kachman, Illinois-Chicago Vault Meaghan Koshman, Illinois State Bars Courtney Arno, Texas Woman’s Beam Rachael Zelinski, Illinois-Chicago Floor Rachael Zelinski, Illinois-Chicago
Southeast Region
In the Southeast Region, North Carolina State has once again passed West Virginia, but these two teams appear to be locks for unseeded Regionals berths. North Carolina replaced a 192.x with a 194.x to rise three spots in the rankings. Maryland remains within striking distance for that final unseeded position, but with every week an upset looks less likely. If Regionals were today, the following would be the Southeast Region individual qualifiers: All-Around Brandi George, Maryland Vault Angela Ferg, Maryland Bars Stevie Waldman, William and Mary Beam Talia Tossone, Maryland Floor Jess Guilbert, George Washington
West Region
In the West Region, California overtook Sacramento State for the final unseeded position by a tiny margin, despite the latter having scored a new season high. From San Jose State, California, Sacramento State, and Boise State all the way down to UC Davis (RQS 192.18) and Cal State-Fullerton (RQS 192.005), there is an incredibly tight six-way race for the final two unseeded positions. If Regionals were today, the following would be the West Region individual qualifiers: All-Around Marina Borisova, Sacramento State Vault Tanya Ho, UC Davis Bars Katie Griffis, Boise State Beam Kristin Aldrich, Boise State Floor Yvette Leizorek, Boise State
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